Folk omens for the summer. Folk omens: If the first mushrooms - morels appeared in elevated places - by rainy summer, in lowlands to dry

The forecast on this page is a continuation of four years of reconstruction (and verification) of the old method of making a weather forecast for the whole year. This method is based on the assumption that the weather in the next 12 days after the day of St. Spyridon shows what the weather will be like in the twelve months corresponding to them.
In addition, there are even later signs that clarify the forecast. But they still need to understand which of them "work" and which do not, and select only "solid" signs. According to the experience of last year, the "hard" ones include weather signs for the Annunciation. But even they sometimes lead to a contradiction between themselves. It has not yet been possible to establish how to resolve the discrepancy that has arisen - the weather in such cases manifests itself completely "not according to the rules." Therefore, in the observation schedule for this year 2017 and summer, in particular, we decided to include the readings of "unsteady" signs.

Weather forecast for Summer 2017, Moscow

Preliminary weather forecast for summer 2017
(compiled on 04/17/2017)

Weather forecast for June 2017, Moscow

25.02.2017 (Preliminary forecast) June, at first, in terms of temperature and precipitation will be close to the climatic norm, at times the temperature may be slightly below the norm, and such weather will be perceived as cool. Warm, one might even say hot weather will begin to set in the second decade of the month, sunny weather will prevail, the third decade of June will be the warmest, but thunderstorms and showers will not allow the heat to set records. June as a whole will be moderately warm and humid.

Graph 06.2017.Msk Forecasted average daily temperature and probability diagram for the forecast of cloudiness in June 2017, Moscow

COMMENT: You should not expect that the actual average daily temperature will exactly repeat the predicted one, if this were the case, then all the meteorological services would be disbanded as unnecessary, and instead of the weather forecast, we would watch an exciting competition, so to speak, "weather forecasting magicians" in struggle for the position of the Court Magician (progress lies in the fact that such a competition takes place on the political field:).
However, if the predicted weather occurs within ±3 days, then the forecast should be considered justified - this is set to this moment the uncertainty interval of such a forecast...

Weather forecast for July 2017, Moscow

25.02.2017 July will be generally warm and humid. Unfortunately, it is impossible to predict temperature fluctuations during the month this year, the temperature jump is most likely at the beginning of the second decade after the full moon (Preliminary forecast).
In the first half of July, warm and humid weather, short showers and thunderstorms will set in, in the second decade of the month hot and dry weather will begin to take hold, at the end of July it will be hot and humid - the likelihood of rain increases.

Graph 07.2017.Msk Forecasted average daily temperature and probability diagram for predicting the state of cloudiness in July 2017, Moscow

Weather forecast for August 2017, Moscow

25.02.2017 (Preliminary forecast) The beginning of August will be warm and humid, the "red summer" will return again in the second decade of the month, but not for long, in the third decade warm sunny days will alternate with cool ones, periods of warm weather will be shorter and shorter, but there will be relatively dry.

Graph 08.2017.Msk Forecasted average daily temperature and probability diagram for the forecast of cloudiness in August 2017, Moscow

Further weather forecast for 2017 will be published as weather data and weather observations are processed.

Explanations for charts:

Long-term average - the average daily temperature obtained as a result of averaging 30 years of observations (1961-1990).

Average daily forecast T°C - average daily temperature data obtained as a result of recalculation actual temperatures measured on the day that shows the weather of a given month (for July - this is 01/01/2012, the nature of the temperature change on this day is just used to make a weather forecast).

Actual average daily, Tmin°C, Tmax°C - respectively, average daily, minimum and maximum temperature, formed in fact on the given day according to the indications of the Hydrometeorological Center.

Overcast, partly cloudy, clear - a diagram showing the probability of cloudy conditions in a given decade of the month, in proportion to the area of ​​the corresponding areas.

The actual weather icons (at the very top) indicate the prevailing weather for that day. For example, if for 14 hours there was cloudy weather and rain, then in the next 3-4 hours the clouds dissipated and the weather was clear for the remaining hours of the day, then the cloudy weather with precipitation icon will be displayed. If different states of cloudiness are distributed in equal proportions in a day, then preference will be given to daytime weather.

Arrows - indicate the prevailing wind direction, if the wind is variable, then the arrows indicate the sectors within which the wind direction changed.

White line with snowflakes - snow depth (1 division of the vertical scale corresponds to snow height - 20 cm)

The rules used in making a weather forecast:

1. To compile a weather forecast, actual weather data from December 26 to January 6 inclusive is used, the marking of months is carried out according to the old style ( Julian calendar).
2. When compiling a weather forecast for a month, the data are interpreted as follows: morning from 10.00 to 13.00 (involving data for 7.00 at information plan) - correspond to the 1st decade of the month according to the old style (according to the modern calendar from the 14th to the 23rd day of the corresponding month); day from 13.00 to 16.00 - 2nd decade; evening from 16.00 to 19.00 (involving data at 22.00 in terms of information) - 3rd decade of the month according to the old style.

Temperature: We use the actual temperature data and their deviation from the average daily temperature of the climatic norm. Before the day of the vernal equinox, we use directly the initial data of temperatures and deviations, after the day of the vernal equinox - inverted data (change "+" to "-" and vice versa, according to the principle "than colder in winter the warmer in summer"). In addition, we make adjustments to the nature of temperature changes for phenomena that are consistently repeated in terms of signs: For example: Epiphany frosts - we make an adjustment by underestimating the initial data by 2-5 °C.

Cloud nature: The biggest difficulty is the interpretation of the nature of cloudiness - after all, if the weather is cloudy all day, then for the corresponding month it cannot be cloudy all the time. In winter, in this case, mostly cloudy weather is predicted, and for summer period cloudiness character points are underestimated, i.e. after the vernal equinox, if on the initial day it is cloudy, without rain, then we predict: "mostly partly cloudy".

Precipitation: with precipitation, everything is simple; there is precipitation - it means there will be in the corresponding forecast period, no - it means mostly without precipitation or slight precipitation, depending on the predicted nature of the cloudiness.

Wind speed: if during the initial day there are deviations in wind speed by 3-5 m/s, then there will be windy weather in the corresponding period.

It's amazing to watch the change of seasons every year. It would seem that only there were frosts and winter, but already the buds on the trees are blooming. According to forecasts, the weatherman already knows what the summer of 2017 will be like in Moscow. What can residents of the capital expect: sweltering heat or beautiful coolness?

Of course, to make accurate predictions for such long time even the best specialists are not accepted in this area. Because if long-term climate change can be predicted with accuracy, then the weather can change depending on very different conditions. Accurate forecasts can be obtained almost every day. However, the Hydrometeorological Center takes into account different indicators and as a result, it can give more or less accurate forecasts for the summer already in the middle of winter.

Needless to say, summer is a favorite time for many people. This is the summer season, this is vacation, these are holidays and just warm evenings after work, which are pleasant to spend on fresh air in pleasant company. But being outdoors in the summer in Moscow is possible only if it doesn’t rain or, on the contrary, it’s not too hot, which is worth smog. Therefore, Muscovites are waiting for what the weather forecasters will please: so that without heavy rains but without heat. What will the weather be like.

Moscow weather in June-2017

In the first month of summer, the temperature norm will be within its usual limits of about 18 degrees Celsius. In the first days of June it will be quite cool and even possible rains. But then it will gradually become warmer and, after heavy showers and thunderstorms, pleasant sunny weather will set in. The weather will begin to improve somewhere in the middle of the month, at the same time, according to the plan of weather forecasters, strong summer winds should subside.

That is, at the end of June, Moscow will enter a pleasant summertime. At the moment, all forecasts show that the weather will be as pleasant as possible for walking around the city and for picnic trips.

Moscow weather for July-2017

Most often, it is the second month of summer that brings Muscovites and guests of the capital the most surprises. Because, it becomes very hot and in Russia from time immemorial it was July that was considered the hottest month of the year. Even according to folk signs, this can be seen. This year it will also be sultry and hot, so maybe trips to the sea or even just a vacation in the country are best planned for July.

As for the average temperature regime for this segment of the summer of 2017, while weather forecasters are inclined at 33 degrees Celsius during the day, this is, of course, a strong test for a large city of many millions. But such a heat will last a maximum of ten days, and then the thermometer will drop to a more or less normal 25 degrees of heat: the very thing you need in a beautiful red summer, even if we are talking about the city. By the way, July this year will be dry: there are no signs of rain yet. Changes in the program for the current year.

Moscow weather in August-2017

A very hot July will be followed by a calm and confidently warm August. Moreover, while there are all prerequisites to believe that the end of summer will be rainy, but warm weather will still remain within 25 degrees. At the very end of the month, surprises can be expected from nature in the form of a sharp drop in temperature to 15 degrees Celsius. But still, the street should be pleasant and comfortable.

In Moscow in 2017, the summer will be excellent. What kind of summer will be for each day of the week, you need to look exactly closer to specific numbers. Because, forecasters always emphasize that it is possible to more or less predict long-term climate change, because their fluctuations depend on global processes. But predicting the weather in the long term is a thankless task. A cyclone may suddenly appear, a different wind blow, which will eventually lead to a serious complete change in the previous forecast.

We must not forget that nature has no bad weather. This approach should be very close to Muscovites, because due to climatic and environmental factors in recent decades, the weather in the capital has become unpredictable and short term can change drastically. It is important to find the right approach to each season and each manifestation of natural manifestation in order to enjoy every day. It doesn’t matter if it’s just warm or sultry outside, or maybe it’s a romantic and incessant downpour.

We are all looking forward to summer! This is a wonderful time for vacations, magical walks in nature, sunny days and travel, including across the expanses of our homeland - Russia. But any plans for the summer can be greatly spoiled by unexpected weather vagaries. Therefore, we invite you to find out in advance what the summer of 2017 will be like in Moscow, St. Petersburg, and also in the Urals. We are confident that this most accurate forecast of the weather expected in these regions from the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia will help you plan your ideal summer rest this year!

What will be the summer of 2017 in Russia - the most accurate forecast from the Hydrometeorological Center

Let's start with general information about what will be the summer of 2017 in Russia according to the most accurate forecast of the Hydrometeorological Center. This information, of course, preliminary and is based on long-term observations of weather forecasters for weather situations on the territory of our country. Nevertheless, when compiling the most accurate forecast of what summer 2017 will be like in Russia, experts also take into account solar cycles. For example, in the summer of this year, the activity of the Sun will no longer be at its most acute stage, and therefore, we should not expect anomalous temperatures for us.

What weather is expected in Russia in the summer of 2017 according to the forecasts of the Hydrometeorological Center

According to weather forecasts, the weather in the summer of 2017 in most of Russia will be typical for certain regions. Specialists of the Hydrometeorological Center suggest that June and July will be warm and rainy for most Russian regions, and a minimum of precipitation is expected in August.

What will be the upcoming summer of 2017 in Moscow - what weather is expected according to the forecasts of the Hydrometeorological Center

If we talk separately about what the upcoming summer of 2017 will be like in Moscow and about the weather that is expected according to the forecasts of the Hydrometeorological Center in the capital, then there will be no abnormal temperatures. Most weather forecasters are inclined to believe that the summer of 2017 will be typical for the capital: moderately hot, with moderate precipitation and mostly windless.

What weather is expected in Moscow in the summer of 2017 according to the forecasts of the Hydrometeorological Center

According to the forecasts of the Hydrometeorological Center for the coming summer of 2017, the weather in Moscow is expected to be warm and sunny. Forecasters predict small periods with precipitation and a drop in temperature to 19-20 degrees above zero in early June and mid-July. Throughout August, the weather in the capital will delight with hot + 25-27 degrees and the almost complete absence of rain.

What will be the summer according to forecasts in 2017 in St. Petersburg - what weather is expected at the beginning and end of the season

The question of what the summer will be like in St. Petersburg in 2017, or rather, what kind of weather is expected at the beginning and end of the season, worries not only the locals, but also tourists. Summer is the perfect time to visit northern capital and enjoy all its beauties. So, according to weather forecasts, the weather in the summer of 2017 in St. Petersburg at the beginning and end of the season is expected to be sunny and warm.

What weather is expected at the end of summer 2017 in St. Petersburg according to weather forecasts

The hottest days since temperature indicators in the region of 25-27 degrees will delight Petersburgers in mid-August. True, already at the end of summer, specialists from the Hydrometeorological Center foreshadow the beginning of rains and a drop in temperatures to 19-20 degrees above zero.

What will be the summer of 2017 in the Urals - the most accurate weather forecast

If you believe the most accurate weather forecast, then what will be the summer of 2017 in the Urals, you will not surprise local residents. Of course, the average temperatures will vary depending on the specific region, but the general picture for the summer in the Urals will be similar.

Accurate weather forecast for the summer of 2017 for the Urals

So what will be the summer of 2017 in the Urals according to the most accurate weather forecast from the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia? In one word, typical: moderately hot, mostly dry, but also possible heavy rainfall. The beginning and end of summer in this region are reminiscent of similar forecasts for Moscow and St. Petersburg in these months. However, in the middle of summer the weather in the Urals is expected to be more sunny, but not as hot as, for example, in southern Russia.

Yes, and just curious what climate surprises prepared for us next year. We will try to understand this issue and reveal to you all the information obtained from weather forecasters.

Weather forecast for 2017

Of course, not a single Hydrometeorological Center will undertake to provide an accurate forecast for the whole 12 months. Even the most modern technology in the field of meteorology is not able to look into such a distant future. More or less accurate forecasts can only be made a week ahead, because over long time periods, errors and inaccuracies are becoming higher and higher.

This is explained simply - natural changes in the form of movement of air masses, precipitation, clouds and other things occur every minute, nullifying the possibility of long-term forecasting. However, experts make rough predictions based on long-term observations of natural processes. By the way, meteorologists say that the anomalies that were observed in last years, come to naught, obeying a ten-year natural cycle. Gradually, all the annual seasons will fall into place.

In a year, winter will be habitually cold, and summer will be warm, but without abnormally high temperatures. The same opinion is shared by, based on the cycles of solar activity. It is the Sun that will become the astrological dominant, influencing the formation of weather in 2017. All the periods we lived under the auspices of the Sun were characterized by weather without anomalous temperature fluctuations.

V Lately Forecasters are increasingly predicting a fall in the average winter temperature explaining this by climatic cycles. Now the world is still in a cycle characterized by cooling, so in the winter of 2017 we can expect periods of a sharp drop in temperature that will cover the Urals, the southwestern part of Siberia, Khabarovsk region, Amur region, Magadan, Yakutia and southern part Krasnoyarsk region.

Russia is forecast to experience a snowy winter with severe cold

Temperatures here during January and in the second half of February will drop to abnormally low levels. Although it is worth noting that for residents of the northern regions, temperatures below 35-37 degrees are not surprising. No less cold will be the first ones in the southern part of the country - in the Central Administrative District and in the North Caucasus. Forecasters say that in comparison with the same period in 2016, the thermometer will drop 2-3 degrees lower.

Temperatures are expected to drop to minus 18-19 degrees at night in the capital. The end of January and February in this part of Russia can become periods of prolonged thaw with fluffy snow and comfortable temperatures. environment. In general, forecasters believe that the winter of 2017 may be the last harsh winter before the world enters a warming cycle during December-January.

In the spring, representatives of the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia do not expect any global cataclysms. Spring warming will come to the country according to the calendar - frosts are still possible in the center and north-west of the country until mid-March, but the north-east will delight its residents with unusually high thermometer readings. At the same time, spring can be quite protracted - the weather will be warm, but not hot, with periods of heavy rains.

The Russians predict a protracted spring without abnormal May heat

In the capital, it is worth getting ready for the fact that in the first two weeks of March it will snow, and at night the thermometer will show a stable minus within 6-7 degrees. Ice is possible, as the temperature will tend to zero during the day. From April, you can safely expect warming to +5-6 degrees Celsius, and closer to the second half of May, comfortable days will come, delighting Moscow residents with a temperature of +13-16 degrees.

Summer will not immediately pamper Russians with warm and sunny days- weather forecasters predict a cool and rainy June for the inhabitants of the country, with periods of prolonged downpours and a sharp drop in temperature. And only closer to the last decade of June it will become warm and sunny throughout the country. Muscovites will be able to throw off and flaunt short-sleeved clothes - mercury thermometers will rise to + 20-23 degrees Celsius.

However, lovers beach holiday will have to wait until the beginning of July, when the real summer heat. The air temperature at this time here will rise to 32-33 degrees, and meteorologists do not expect particularly heavy precipitation. In the northern part of Russia, it will get warmer a little later - by mid-July. Last month summer will be dry and sunny for the first 15-20 days. After that, the temperature can drop sharply, accompanying the cold snap with thick fogs in the mornings.

beach season in 2017 in Russia will begin no earlier than mid-July

Weather in autumn 2017

The first days of September will meet the Russians, living in the central regions, with rains and cooling down to 17-18 degrees Celsius. However, already from the second part of the month, a slight warming can be expected, brought by mild days. Indian summer. From October we should expect a sharp drop in temperature to 7-9 degrees with night frosts and heavy rainfall.

In the center and in the south it will be rains, but the northern regions can prepare for early snows. November, especially the middle and end of the month, will bring snow to most of the territory of Russia, accompanied by a drop in temperature to minus 12-14 degrees, so that almost the entire country, except for the lucky ones living in the very south, will be covered with a steady snow cover.

Summer is the time for desires to come true: trips to nature, vacations in the country, trips to the rocky mountains and vacations on the coast. warm sea. But not all dreams are destined to come true. The weather has become more and more changeable in recent years, and you never know for sure what this capricious lady will throw out in half an hour. Going for an ordinary walk in the park in the middle of summer, Muscovites and Petersburgers put on T-shirts and shorts, but put an umbrella and a windbreaker on duty in their backpack. Whole warm season tourists complain about unexpected synoptic “tricks”, and gardeners complain about a poor harvest due to bad weather. The same thing, our fellow countrymen can successfully plan a vacation, distribute sowing work or a seasonal business only by knowing in advance what the summer of 2017 will be like in Russia. And in Moscow, and in St. Petersburg, and in the Urals, people are looking forward to the most accurate forecast of the Hydrometeorological Center for the summer season, so that they don’t have to watch cold rain on gray asphalt through the window at the most crucial moment.

What will be the summer of 2017 in Russia - the most accurate forecast of the Hydrometeorological Center

Let's turn to the most accurate forecast of the Hydrometeorological Center and find out what summer 2017 will be like in Russia. After all, it is very difficult to predict the weather for several weeks ahead, and even for months - even more so.

Traditionally, the beginning of summer in Russia will be cool. different regions countries have their own characteristic temperature level, but the trend is the same for the entire territory. During the first month, the rains will annoy with their obsession, but already in the second month they will give way to sunny and fine days. In the middle of summer, the air in most of the territory of Russia will warm up enough to make the indigenous people and visiting guests feel comfortable. Holiday season will be consistently warm, but the real heat will visit the Russians no earlier than August 2017. The summer heat at 33C-37C will last the first couple of weeks of the month, and after strong winds and rainy autumn volleys.

Now you can roughly imagine what the summer of 2017 will be like in Russia, the most accurate forecast of the Hydrometeorological Center will help you thoroughly plan weekends, country work, vacation calendar, etc.

What summer is expected in Russia in 2017: monthly forecast

• June. The beginning of the first summer month will become a smooth continuation of the end of spring: the same coolness and the same rains. Regarding the weather in mid-June, the opinion of weather forecasters was divided. Some see it as hot and dry, others as cool and rainy. The end of the month will fill the flora of Russia with frequent precipitation and nature will be nourished with life-giving moisture. Throughout June, stable temperature indicators are not to be expected. Sharp jumps in the summer of 2017 are more likely.
• July. The middle of summer will bribe the inhabitants of Siberia with atypical heat. While the central part, on the contrary, will suffer from a lack summer heat. Siberians will have to endure 33-35C and excessively high humidity. Which in itself is not a good combination for the natives.
• August. The end of the month will bring salvation from the heat in the form of cool nights. The level of precipitation will decrease, but the daily temperature indicators of individual regions will increase inconsistently. The center of Russia at the end of summer will wait for the favor of mother nature and enjoy the hot days before the onset of damp and dank autumn.

What will be the summer in Moscow - the weather for 2017

The weather in Moscow in the summer of 2017 will be a logical continuation of the climate throughout Russia. The first month will give the capital warmth, mixed with frequent rains. Nighttime temperatures will drop to +5C, but daytime temperatures will rise to 20C-25C. Fog will become a frequent occurrence in the capital at the beginning of summer. By virtue of high humidity, there is no way to avoid them.

In July, a hot and dusty atmosphere is expected on the streets of Moscow. Rains will be rare and short-term, so the risk of fires will increase significantly. The mercury column on a clear day will rise to 30C, and will not fall below 17C until the end of the month.

August promises Muscovites high humidity during the day and long-awaited coolness at night. Despite the imminent approach of autumn, the Velvet season keep his rights to the very end. Before mid-September, a significant cooling is not expected.

Weather forecast for summer 2017 in the Moscow region

The Moscow region will become perhaps the most comfortable corner of Russia in June 2017. The air temperature there will rise to 25C, and sometimes up to 30C. With a high probability and enviable regularity, it will rain, which will positively affect the future harvest. July and August will please with dry weather and mostly sunny days. Moderate warm winds, occasional thunderstorms and temperature conditions will make the summer of 2017 in Moscow and the Moscow region unremarkable and not stand out from the previous ones.

What will be the summer in St. Petersburg - the weather for 2017

What will the weather be like in the summer of 2017 in St. Petersburg is a natural question for all residents of the city on the Neva. Due to its northern location, the first capital is never hot enough, and this season will be no exception. June will give locals and tourists daytime warming up to 25C, but the nights will still remain cool. The rains will begin their song at the beginning of summer and continue it until August. In mid-July, the air will warm up to 30C, but the positive trend will change its direction very soon. By the end of August, the level of precipitation will increase even more, but sharp cool winds will bypass St. Petersburg.

These are forecasts of weather forecasters for the upcoming warm season. But there are several more ways to predict what the summer in St. Petersburg and the weather will be like in 2017.

What is the expected summer of 2017 in St. Petersburg in terms of spring and winter signs

The opinion of the weather is often at odds with the opinion of weather forecasters. Fortunately, today people can look up not only to the knowledge of scientists, but also to folk signs. They still have power. What will be the summer in St. Petersburg (weather for 2017) can be determined in advance, paying attention to the environment:

1. Deep snow in winter promises a rainy summer;
2. Winds in the first days of April predict a rainy June;
3. Frosty winter to hot summer;
4. Little birch sap in season - wait for dry August;
5. If the bird cherry blooms profusely, the summer will be wet;
6. If the sky is clear at Epiphany, the Indian summer will be long;
7. The frosty beginning of February promises excessive heat in the middle of summer.

What will be the summer of 2017 in the Urals - the most accurate forecast

According to the most accurate forecasts FGBU " Ural management on hydrometeorology and environmental monitoring” summer 2017 in the Urals will be warm and rainy. The first two months will not seem too comfortable for the local population, but the long-awaited August will bring clear and dry weather. V last days In summer, the air temperature will reach 33C-35C, and sometimes even 38C.

Accurate forecast for the summer of 2017 in the Urals by months

• June. First summer month will start with generous rain and low temperatures - 15C-18C. In the second decade, the air will warm up to 22C, and showers will be replaced by small “mushroom” rains. The end of June will be drier and warmer, but summer will not show itself to its fullest.
• July. The middle of the solar season will surprise you with a variety of weather. In July, hot days will regularly alternate with cool and rainy ones. Partly cloudy skies will replace cloudless skies. And the level of the mercury column randomly jumps from 35C to 24C.
• August. The weather at the end of the summer of 2017 in the Urals will surprise you with the reigning sun and steady heat. In spite of cool nights, the days will continue to delight with dry and calm weather. Pleasant 35C will persist until the beginning of autumn, and will give the Urals the opportunity to soak up a little more in sunshine in anticipation of the September cold.